NFL Football Betting – Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, December 05, 2010
The Kansas City Chiefs were not even on the NFL Betting radar in the preseason. Now they sit in first place in the AFC West and control their own destiny for the rest of the season. On Sunday, they take on a bitter rival in a rematch of a game in which the Broncos ran up the score and Chiefs Coach Todd Haley ran up his frustration level.
NFL Betting Lines:
Denver: +9 (-110)
Kansas City: -9 (-110)
Moneyline: Denver +350: Kansas City -450
Total: 48 ½ points
The Denver Broncos are NFL Betting disappointments. Not only have they jettisoned their best players to other teams, but they have used spying techniques against their opponents and gained absolutely zero advantage doing so.
The Broncos offense has relied solely on the 4 th ranked passing game (288.27 yards per game) so far this season. Kyle Orton and Brandon Lloyd have been superb and were a huge factor in the first meeting between these two teams earlier this season.
It has been the 30 th ranked running game (79.36 yards per game) that had led to the Broncos downfall. Knowshon Moreno, who has been injured this season, has recently shown signs of life however. He has gone over 100 yards rushing in two of his last four games, including the November 4 th showdown between these two clubs. Moreno will be a key cog against a decent Chiefs run defense.
Defensively, the Broncos are an NFL Betting disaster. They are 20 th against the pass (239 yards per game) and 30 th versus the run (141.64 yards per game). Dwayne Bowe, Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones will all be licking their chops at the prospect of getting at this D.
The Kansas City Chiefs need an NFL Betting win to stay ahead of the scorching San Diego Chargers. KC has been playing well on both sides of the ball and will be looking to avenge their worst loss of the season against Denver.
In the first meeting between these two clubs, the best running game in the NFL was largely held in check. Jamaal Charles was held to just 41 yards on 14 carries. This won’t happen again – Charles is on fire right now and rumbled for 173 yards on enemy soil last week. The emerging 25 th ranked passing game should also have some fun. The combination of Matt Cassel and Dwayne Bowe is the hottest in the league right now by far.
The Chiefs defense has had some difficulty versus the pass this season – they are 24 th ranked, allowing 246.45 yards per game. They will certainly have their hands full with Orton and Lloyd, but trust Defensive Coordinator Romeo Crenell to have a solid game plan against these two. The 7 th ranked run defense should have little trouble slowing the 30 th ranked Denver Broncos rushing offense.
NFL Betting Outlook:
The Denver Broncos are 1-6 SU and ATS in their last seven games. They are 1-6 SU in their last seven games on the road and are 1-4 ATS in their last five away from home. Denver is 3-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games on the road in Kansas City.
The Kansas City Chiefs are 4-1 SU in their last six games. They are just 7-18 SU in their last 25 games at home but are 5-0 SU this season at Arrowhead. The Chiefs are 2-5 SU in their last seven games against the Broncos but are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games versus Denver on home soil.
Sunday’s AFC West tilt will be very interesting. A game between these two heated rivalries is always intriguing. The Broncos defense remains like Swiss cheese and with the distraction of Spygate 2.0; it is hard to imagine the Broncos defeating a Chiefs team that is 5-0 at home this season. I will take the #1 rushing offense against the #30 run defense any day of the week. I like the Chiefs to prevail but nine points is a little rich for my blood.